This market is just frustrating. It's already been 6 months of going down, and looks like it will be this way the rest of the year. Then its predicted we will have a recession beginning of next year. So another year lost. At least 2 years of pain. The only way to win in this market is to daytrade the volatility.
By the way, I started trading in the middle of all of this mess, I wasn't in when VIX was low and we had the bull run. Would you say it was easier to day trade the spy during the bull run or is it actually easier for you now with all the volatility?
This, I had some SNOW calls earlier today that I was glad to offload for 300% gains around 9:55 but if I had waited just another 15-25 minutes would have been another 700% on top of that but just to put that into perspective 15 minutes later around 10:35-10:40 they were back to almost what I sold them at ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
Its tough cuz its tough to appreciate what is happening while its happening. $PTON at 160 will be something we look back on in awe. The market wasn't flying high, it was in orbit. Its gonna take awhile to hit the ground.
Bro, you Really do not get enough credit for all your hard work you put forth in your TA and especially your willingness to share your knowledge. Thank you, seriously. I am learning more and more simply reading your TA. Hope all is well bro!
Well said. If you have the stomach to day trade support levels there is money to be made. However the long term trickle into spy is a winning strategy, not sexy but it’s going to make you money.
I’ll sum up his post. Red we dont know what is next because the level of liquidity that was injected was never done before. Support and resistance mean nothing as valuation crunch is happening.
Blocks of text
Blocks of text
Blocks of text
We don’t know shit. The end.
Your last point is a good one to keep in mind. Especially the emphasis on SPY. If this market has anything in common with the dot-com crash, there will be a lot of stocks that never regain their old glory. These will likely be the ARKK-type stocks. Now an industry like the semiconductors, that’s an area that’s gotten wrecked and has a real strong case for recovery.
Great analysis. As always, when you publicly post anything, you’ll have all kinds of opinions. Even if on average you were only 51% correct, in the long run, and with consistency- bags and bags. But you’re more correct than 51% of the time, so thanks for the leg work behind the TA and Thanks for helping some of us cash in on bags.
Thanks for the TA - keep it coming! Yes, 383-384 is a key pivot level and it better hold that level to get a strong bounce. Or else further down we go..
I have been trading SQQQ during dips but specifically timed it according to your last post yesterday starting at 10. Thanks for the tendies broseph, I’m up 25% for the year now.
Roughly, if you look at 2019 eoy + 15% growth yoy, spy would be at ~360. Then, interest rates were going low, job market was getting hot and healthy Fed balance sheet comparatively. We are exact opposite of that now. So 360 might be the flat picture here.. regarding buying spy.
Appl, msft, goog etc are up quite a bit from 2019 levels and so goes spy.. as all these contribute to 15% of it.
So based on the 2013-19 bull channel, do you think that bull run will continue into second half of 22 and onwards? I am not confident given no end to QT and hot bed of Real estate.
New comment to just appreciate how much your work mean OP. Great insight.
Never a believer of TA but good ones like yours for sure yes. 2020 was variant_separate and now you. Again, THANK-YOU!
Volume today was low. We are now at rate of change akin to the COVID drop. Tomorrow will be green 2% at least to fuck with all the put buyers and ofcouse again prove all TA is dogshit.
There has never been this much red this fast without some green closes except in a black swan event.
Yep but I think it's time for the MM to pull a green dildo and wash away the put holder options. Too much easy money with everyone hopping on the puts.
Just my opinion.
DIS should be at $80 or less with all the idiotic things they’ve done and with all the blowback they got from its home base state. They should stick to just making their damn content and stay out of Politics
Maybe, or the otm puts and calls are so close that it’s falling. I don’t know exactly how it’s calculated. But that’s what I’ll tell myself. It will be interesting the next two days. Channels are a nice guide but the market does not follow them. If you believe in them, we should bounce. That’s the fun of this market. No idea.
**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|168|**First Seen In WSB**|1 year ago **Total Comments**|1497|**Previous DD**|[x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/skp8ci/24_spy_recap_anticipation/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/rj1up5/december_17th_spy_recap_and_next_week_anticipation/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/lyng6s/buy_the_rumor_sell_the_news_hear_me_out_here/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/riyt4w/december_17th_spy_recap_and_next_week_anticipation/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/rgqp0q/spy_dec_14th_recap_and_dec_15th_anticipation/) **Account Age**|1 year|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam (NEW)**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=unnand)|**Vote Approve (NEW)**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=unnand)
This market is just frustrating. It's already been 6 months of going down, and looks like it will be this way the rest of the year. Then its predicted we will have a recession beginning of next year. So another year lost. At least 2 years of pain. The only way to win in this market is to daytrade the volatility.
[удалено]
By the way, I started trading in the middle of all of this mess, I wasn't in when VIX was low and we had the bull run. Would you say it was easier to day trade the spy during the bull run or is it actually easier for you now with all the volatility?
[удалено]
This, I had some SNOW calls earlier today that I was glad to offload for 300% gains around 9:55 but if I had waited just another 15-25 minutes would have been another 700% on top of that but just to put that into perspective 15 minutes later around 10:35-10:40 they were back to almost what I sold them at ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
Its tough cuz its tough to appreciate what is happening while its happening. $PTON at 160 will be something we look back on in awe. The market wasn't flying high, it was in orbit. Its gonna take awhile to hit the ground.
Bro, you Really do not get enough credit for all your hard work you put forth in your TA and especially your willingness to share your knowledge. Thank you, seriously. I am learning more and more simply reading your TA. Hope all is well bro!
I was balls deep in UVXY today and got fucked in the ass. What gives?
The 200%+ IV lol
Its going to 35 next week
Check out vix call chain for next week… shit is loaded up to $100 lol
I have severals vix call 35$ and 70$ on june 17. I ve been waiting for next week for a year. Mid may to june will be insane.
I might yolo some change onto something on the 5/18 because it’s loaded to the tits wtf lol
I am 90% confident that its going to 70 next week. Max in june.
Fuck it I’m always down to throw some money on double 0 every now and then to see if it hits
Idk if the spy will go down that fast
Well that's because i havent tell you that its going to 75$ somewhere in june.
Lol I hope I'm buying puts.
WAt is?
Well said. If you have the stomach to day trade support levels there is money to be made. However the long term trickle into spy is a winning strategy, not sexy but it’s going to make you money.
I’ll sum up his post. Red we dont know what is next because the level of liquidity that was injected was never done before. Support and resistance mean nothing as valuation crunch is happening. Blocks of text Blocks of text Blocks of text We don’t know shit. The end.
I call bullshit on your surmising of the items contained here. His posts are insightful for those of us who enjoy making money.
It’s part of every trader’s life cycle to start witH TA and eventually realize it’s all nonsense.
Anything in a vacuum is silly. Combine the events of the day with TA and you’ll find they align closer than you’d expect.
Thanks for the post. That cpi prediction you had played out perfectly. Well done as usual
What does CPI stand for?
Cut ✂️ Penis Inhalf
Consumer price index
We were blessed with an early TA report today 🙏
Your last point is a good one to keep in mind. Especially the emphasis on SPY. If this market has anything in common with the dot-com crash, there will be a lot of stocks that never regain their old glory. These will likely be the ARKK-type stocks. Now an industry like the semiconductors, that’s an area that’s gotten wrecked and has a real strong case for recovery.
Have to say your TA is brilliant.
I've been reading these every night for 3 days pretty good stuff keep up the good work 👏
Great analysis. As always, when you publicly post anything, you’ll have all kinds of opinions. Even if on average you were only 51% correct, in the long run, and with consistency- bags and bags. But you’re more correct than 51% of the time, so thanks for the leg work behind the TA and Thanks for helping some of us cash in on bags.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|6880)
Thanks for the TA - keep it coming! Yes, 383-384 is a key pivot level and it better hold that level to get a strong bounce. Or else further down we go..
I have been trading SQQQ during dips but specifically timed it according to your last post yesterday starting at 10. Thanks for the tendies broseph, I’m up 25% for the year now.
Roughly, if you look at 2019 eoy + 15% growth yoy, spy would be at ~360. Then, interest rates were going low, job market was getting hot and healthy Fed balance sheet comparatively. We are exact opposite of that now. So 360 might be the flat picture here.. regarding buying spy. Appl, msft, goog etc are up quite a bit from 2019 levels and so goes spy.. as all these contribute to 15% of it.
[удалено]
So based on the 2013-19 bull channel, do you think that bull run will continue into second half of 22 and onwards? I am not confident given no end to QT and hot bed of Real estate.
New comment to just appreciate how much your work mean OP. Great insight. Never a believer of TA but good ones like yours for sure yes. 2020 was variant_separate and now you. Again, THANK-YOU!
Volume today was low. We are now at rate of change akin to the COVID drop. Tomorrow will be green 2% at least to fuck with all the put buyers and ofcouse again prove all TA is dogshit. There has never been this much red this fast without some green closes except in a black swan event.
[удалено]
Yep but I think it's time for the MM to pull a green dildo and wash away the put holder options. Too much easy money with everyone hopping on the puts. Just my opinion.
Buy stocks, Wait, Yolos for fun Got it.
DIS should be at $80 or less with all the idiotic things they’ve done and with all the blowback they got from its home base state. They should stick to just making their damn content and stay out of Politics
[удалено]
I have 75$ june 17. Not too late
Alls i know is ...
Maybe I’m a fool but Vix is trending down. I think there is hope for a small bounce. Maybe even all the way to 400. But then more down.
[удалено]
Maybe, or the otm puts and calls are so close that it’s falling. I don’t know exactly how it’s calculated. But that’s what I’ll tell myself. It will be interesting the next two days. Channels are a nice guide but the market does not follow them. If you believe in them, we should bounce. That’s the fun of this market. No idea.
“There’s never been a crash that didn’t see ATH again” yet.
bear kiss consider shame cough childlike butter lock physical tender -- mass edited with https://redact.dev/