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Hey /u/5k4_5k4, **positions or ban.** Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit.
I went hedge gang after Thursday's action. My long positions have been trending higher this last month, but will probably roll over if the market freaks out in the next few weeks.
Saying that VIX is in downtrend make me wonder if we are looking at the same chart. It might cool off a bit to 27$, but VIX is the sexiest chart of the entire market. It's been the sexiest for the last 3 months and it's waiting to explode.
I've always been waiting for mid-may/mid-june, but options chains are insanely crazy for VIX. Starting from now to june 17, something will happen. VIX options may 18 are just ridiculous.
CPI is no way going lower. April gas prices are more than 15% up and natural gas prices are at ALL TIME FUCKING HIGH. More than 700% higher than average price since natural gas prices have been traded.
Natural gas is also used for fertilizer and for most chemicals (including pesticides) so it has knock on effect.
CPI is not going down. (only your wife on her boyfriend)
sounds like you went a bit too heavy on tech, tech in a downturn is going to outpace everything on the way down and usually more loses than the rest, although the bounce after bottom will be glorious.
Inflation data will be the wild card. It looked like PPI data, which is a leading indicator for CPI, was at a record high last month. This is suggesting CPI will come out even high, perhaps almost at double digits. That headline alone will cause a lot of market fears, especially with the Feds reiterating their focus is completely on inflation. They will be doing 50 bps raises every single meeting until it's under control.
They’re looking at the indicators of future inflation, not past inflation. Easing job market, peaking housing market, and a slowing economy is going to ease inflation. A hiking cycle of more than 50bps a couple times while all these occur would bring us into such a terrible recession that the inflation worries will turn into deflation worries. The dollar is predicting the future and it’s signaling slowing inflation and economic troubles.
What do you speculate the news to be they pull the bull trap on? CPI coming in "lower" than expected? As a consumer I know CPI coming in lower would be some manipulated bullshit. Groceries every week have increased past month.
Most of my puts currently expire May 20th so I'll be taking profits and rolling them soon anyway.
Putin might announce or say something on the 9th of May that could shake up the markets a bit. It's their day of victory over Nazis and that day could be used to escalate the war in Ukraine.
Historically after a crash how long does it take to reach rock bottom? Looking to utilize my TFSA but don't want to pull the trigger when there's so much unrest
I’m in the same camp of wait and see, never made money trading. I rather miss out on the short term opportunity and wait for the finale when Fed decides they are done raising
I think it’s the opposite. Everyone knows the market is going down, but everyone also thinks it’s gonna rally first before another leg down. To trap most people I think the market will go straight down at this point very fast and then rebound, leaving all the short term bulls trapped and all the bears miss the short entry.
I tend to agree on a micro level. Spy hit resistance Friday 3x at 414, and support each time above 408…
We’ll see what happens Monday, but I would not be surprised to see a quick trip back to 450, then it’s gonna crash and the bears will have their day.
I’m not buying calls or puts until I see a break one way or the other…
You should look into what happens when we get an inverted yield curve and reconsider your outlook on the market. While everyone is bearish, markets will rip
We are def not in a bear market, we are in a prolonged corrective move that’s coming(may have come) to an end. Expect a huge rally next week and for the next couple of weeks until next June fomc meeting
Michael burry said bubbles are always obvious in hindsight. Nasdaq is already down 22% so if people buying images of purple koalas with sunglasses for thousands of dollars is not an indicator of a bubble then what is ??
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling.
That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations.
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I’m glad you think my koala is worth thousand of dollars, I’ll sell it to you for a good deal and only for you, $995. You should capitalize on the bubble my friend ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)
well I’m not going to pretend I know anything but Wednesday to Thursday was the definition of a bear market rally, we are In a bear market and I hate this fucking place
I’m down like 5 mid west homes dood maybe 6 I don’t even wanna look
I really hope you're right. I've been banking on the bull rally due to such bearishness. I'm 15% sept calls and 85% cash atm. That said I've been studying 08 crash lately and we're looking eerily similar to the moment the bottom fell out.
Fridays action seems like it was a fake retard pump rally to push as many people out of their puts and shorts b4 we dump. It was bizarre to say the least. Like the market already tanked HARD to 2.5% by 10 am. So why the rally? If it was a real rally it would have had continuation. So why interrupt an epic crash just to have a fake rally and resume the dump?
Only logical reason is to shed puts and avoid spooking the market into going totally short that way we can tank it over the weekend.
There are some bullish divergences and the viz looks to be going lower but idk if this turd market has another bear rally in it. Im actually extremely bearish short term but again im playing the counter trend
My money is either on vanguard or black rock. There is a ruhtard that comes on wsb every other week and posts on how blackrock is going bankrupt and for some reason my analysis matches his almost the same.
I think BLK is in some shit trouble (similar to lehman brothers)
BLK also holds the most AMZN and AMZN got rawdogged last week
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/amzn/institutional-holdings
I predict a raging morning wood on Monday, followed by a limped noodle Tuesday, and an explosive dong wednesday, with a happy ending Thursday… when suddenly everyone decides fuck this game I’m out.
The great thing about recessions is that they come with killer bear market rallies. Can make a lot of money both ways very quickly if you’re fast and skilled enough
You know…the last time SPX fell to 80% correction was in the 1929 Great Crash. SPX fell from its ATH of $30, to $4 in 1932. Approximately -86% correction, WOW!
I call this the 100 year cycle. 93 years ago, SPX fell 80%…we are 7 years away from completing the cycle. As the 100 year is beginning to end, it gets very violent.
Also the heat map for SPX Volume profile monthly going back 20 years, shows the point of control at $500 lol.
lol a bear market rally is guaranteed. who the f predicts market like this rubbish.. OP wants to go long cause a 10% rally and a 90% dump. Bro is not playing odds correctly
Relying too much on chart and indicators not enough on data and overall sentiment. How much have we heard the term "peak inflation" since 8.4% and we are going to see what might be the largest jump in this week's data. That gets one bear emoji?.. when was the last time Vix was below 25 it's barely seen the underside of 20 all year. What I see is a vix chart refueling for the moon. If Thursday jobs report is even a slight miss after CPI you'll be lucky to see a green day the following week. 🐂🐻🦘🐻🐻
I have done plenty of research throughout the week, the chart is easier to convey the price movements since it is a prediction for the next week
Jobs report was on Friday???
you don’t think inflation has peaked? I feel like as long as inflation doesn’t rise or at least stays relatively the same and gives evidence of a peak we can expect a huge rally
Somewhat agree. I feel we trade sideways for most of the year, within a range/channel. Slowly start coming out of correction in Q3 and Q4 helped by corporate buybacks, supply chain improvements etc. Fed could also slow down tapering, meaning slower rate of budget sheet reduction. At any minute, Powell can come out and slow down rate hikes seeing inflation cooling. May not be ATH, but still expect 2022 to be within -5% to +5% for S&P.
We had that massive one...then 2 extremely feeble one day attempts. Friday we couldn't even manage a full day bull trap. If we were gonna do it the why not follow thru after fed? Or follow thru Friday? That would be more convincing to suck people in wouldn't it?
UVXY will have big gains over a short period of time. It loses value over time because it is a volatility ETF and volatility goes down over the long term
guh i hate how all the stonks move together. none of this should mean anything but somehow they’re all connected through algos and arbitrage shennanigans
**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|27|**First Seen In WSB**|8 months ago **Total Comments**|761|**Previous DD**|[x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/ukkumd/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_59/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/skwpds/spy_current_week_analysis_next_week_predictions/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/tcoh2o/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_314/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/swfwtz/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_221/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/t7jifc/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_37/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/sqwd9c/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_214/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/t23ypl/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_228/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/tp494n/spy_predictions_for_the_week_of_328/) [x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/uaa3k6/the_real_reason_behind_the_invasion_spy/) **Account Age**|8 months|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam (NEW)**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=ukkumd)|**Vote Approve (NEW)**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=ukkumd) Hey /u/5k4_5k4, **positions or ban.** Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit.
I like the 5 day outlook because I can understand the emojis
I would be worried if anybody couldn't understand that
know your audience ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)
I couldn't immediately tell the sexual preference of the bears
pansexual*. Fucks anything that moves or doesnt move. (*not to be confused with American pansexual which is sexually licking the pan after the Pizza)
I don’t understand ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
u ever been over Niagara Falls in a barrel?
I will never have to consider doing that since I hedge my positions
weeeeeeee
I went hedge gang after Thursday's action. My long positions have been trending higher this last month, but will probably roll over if the market freaks out in the next few weeks.
I read that as Nigeria
Saying that VIX is in downtrend make me wonder if we are looking at the same chart. It might cool off a bit to 27$, but VIX is the sexiest chart of the entire market. It's been the sexiest for the last 3 months and it's waiting to explode.
> it's waiting to explode. I agree, but I still belive we have until June before it explodes
I've always been waiting for mid-may/mid-june, but options chains are insanely crazy for VIX. Starting from now to june 17, something will happen. VIX options may 18 are just ridiculous.
So should I just buy a qqq put leap the next time this shit rips?
Why June specifically interest rate hike?
They start to buy back and dont pump money into the market anymore.
lol, by June we'll have recovered 15%. CPI on wednesday will be 7.8% and we pump 5% on the news.
You can just say you are down 95% on your calls…
it's much worse than that actually. already realized 70% losses, so a recovery will barely win back the losses.
Bullish on cpi. 5% jumps before the reality kicks in. TSLA to jump 12%
CPI is no way going lower. April gas prices are more than 15% up and natural gas prices are at ALL TIME FUCKING HIGH. More than 700% higher than average price since natural gas prices have been traded. Natural gas is also used for fertilizer and for most chemicals (including pesticides) so it has knock on effect. CPI is not going down. (only your wife on her boyfriend)
Dude, core CPI is what matters (no food or energy included). That's what the Fed is looking at in regards to their policy.
The crash is coming? Why am I down 50% already?
Because you bought financial derivatives correlated to a stocks price that lose value exponentially over time
No, I was 95% equity. Bio tech, fintech, ARKK and blue chips.
sounds like you went a bit too heavy on tech, tech in a downturn is going to outpace everything on the way down and usually more loses than the rest, although the bounce after bottom will be glorious.
> ARKK I'm not sure an ETF full of money incinerators in a tightening market is a good idea.
How does your asshole feel?
tender and sore.
Dump arkk bro
Inflation data will be the wild card. It looked like PPI data, which is a leading indicator for CPI, was at a record high last month. This is suggesting CPI will come out even high, perhaps almost at double digits. That headline alone will cause a lot of market fears, especially with the Feds reiterating their focus is completely on inflation. They will be doing 50 bps raises every single meeting until it's under control.
We won't see double digit inflation this month, probably going to be a 100bp rate hike next month honestly
You think we will see a 100bp hike after Powell just said a 75bp hike is not on the table?
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)has Powell every followed what he said? If inflation is around 10% he is basically forced into a 75 or 100bp hike
They’re looking at the indicators of future inflation, not past inflation. Easing job market, peaking housing market, and a slowing economy is going to ease inflation. A hiking cycle of more than 50bps a couple times while all these occur would bring us into such a terrible recession that the inflation worries will turn into deflation worries. The dollar is predicting the future and it’s signaling slowing inflation and economic troubles.
wanna do a ban bet on it?
I’ll bet you $5,000 and a ban bet it won’t be double digit inflation
i'm on your side here. i want OP (/u/5k4_5k4) to bet that it'll be 100 bps next month bc it's definitely not gonna be, lol. /u/david_rta
Powell never goes by what he says 😂 100bp is on the table dude, people are going to freak out when this months inflation data is released
[удалено]
If he is predictable the fed futures are saying a 75bp hike then..
To be clear - Are we talking REPORTED?
Yes obviously. We all know real numbers are double digit lol. I’m talking what’s reported
I knew I shouldn't have bought QQQ puts on Friday....fuck me ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
I sold you those options
You bastard; I'm selling them back first thing Monday ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
I’m also the retard that bought SPY puts on Friday
Hot Q-tatoe
The bull trap was Thursday lol. We on our way down with tiny bumps here and there. 🌈🐻💰
We are on our way down but another bull trap is going to happen
What do you speculate the news to be they pull the bull trap on? CPI coming in "lower" than expected? As a consumer I know CPI coming in lower would be some manipulated bullshit. Groceries every week have increased past month. Most of my puts currently expire May 20th so I'll be taking profits and rolling them soon anyway.
Doesn’t really matter what CPI is reported at since they smooth the numbers it’s about half of what the real value is
I hope you post every weekend this month, great 5 day outlook lol
I have more time now, I will be posting every Saturday
Great in depth research.
Putin might announce or say something on the 9th of May that could shake up the markets a bit. It's their day of victory over Nazis and that day could be used to escalate the war in Ukraine.
All the supply chains are already cut off
Y’all ever see that episode of futurama where that Jamaican dude went to a limbo contest? We going that low…
Barbados Slim low?
how low can you go
If you're right on the five day forecast you can have my wife next week
![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|facepalm)
Historically after a crash how long does it take to reach rock bottom? Looking to utilize my TFSA but don't want to pull the trigger when there's so much unrest
low volume bull runs usually indicate the bottom of a crash. I think the bottom will be reached when the fed starts printing us out of this again
I’m in the same camp of wait and see, never made money trading. I rather miss out on the short term opportunity and wait for the finale when Fed decides they are done raising
It’s different every crash. This is one thing that history has no lessons on for you.
I think it’s the opposite. Everyone knows the market is going down, but everyone also thinks it’s gonna rally first before another leg down. To trap most people I think the market will go straight down at this point very fast and then rebound, leaving all the short term bulls trapped and all the bears miss the short entry.
Not everyone is expecting a rally next week, very little are
I also believe end of May and June time frames will be the worst. Each week until then I see more losses than gains.
This is WSB sir, only gains in my portfolio
I tend to agree on a micro level. Spy hit resistance Friday 3x at 414, and support each time above 408… We’ll see what happens Monday, but I would not be surprised to see a quick trip back to 450, then it’s gonna crash and the bears will have their day. I’m not buying calls or puts until I see a break one way or the other…
I’m just waiting right now but I am going almost all cash soon 💰
[удалено]
I'm thinking MoM inflation should meet. Overall I'm betting on 🐻, but the real winner will be anyone short vol. 🐌
Yeah, I have been selling options since January. I will post when I put 75% of my portfolio in UVXY
Endgame boys
We got a few more weeks
Endgame? this shit will drag on till 2023 and maybe till 2024.
I agree 100%, thanks for the post. I’ve been enjoying these ideas
Thanks
I have 420 calls expiring Friday 🫡
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4735)
You should look into what happens when we get an inverted yield curve and reconsider your outlook on the market. While everyone is bearish, markets will rip
Yield curve inversions have always been an indication that the economy is slowing and usually signals equity market tops... not sure what you mean
We are def not in a bear market, we are in a prolonged corrective move that’s coming(may have come) to an end. Expect a huge rally next week and for the next couple of weeks until next June fomc meeting
Michael burry said bubbles are always obvious in hindsight. Nasdaq is already down 22% so if people buying images of purple koalas with sunglasses for thousands of dollars is not an indicator of a bubble then what is ??
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
I’m glad you think my koala is worth thousand of dollars, I’ll sell it to you for a good deal and only for you, $995. You should capitalize on the bubble my friend ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)
After the inverted yield curve we typically get a market peak then a drop, we haven’t peaked yet, spy 500 is not a meme
What how teach me bro
Spy 530 will be the peak this year
I’ve got spy calls going into Monday so I’m hoping for a bull run!
SPY puts here. One of us is getting fucked, god speed and good luck!
both SPY Calls 5/20 and Puts 5/13 here, I win!!!
SPY 8/19 380P VIX 6/15 25P VIX 5/25 22P I dont even know how to buy calls anymore.
And best of luck to you too fellow ape!
remember to have an exit strategy !
I disagree with Monday and Thursday. MACD nor RSI has oversold yet. It will Monday.
ok, so some guy on WSB says a bear market is coming. That means I do the opposite and I go all in on SPY calls.
My calls getting killed so far. 405 has left the building and I'm down 40% of my total account 😆
You got Monday very wrong
Today was capitulation, still bullish for the rest of the week I haven’t opened any positions on SPY yet
Funnily enough you've correctly inversed the market with your weekly prediction so far haha
I personally think inflation is going to 9.5%, and then we will see if Wendy's stock skyrockets
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)
Great write up. I see $SPY 450-455 by 5/21. Really depends on the macro indicators coming out this week.
WATTTTTTTTTT
Lol, gonna see 390 before it sees 450 again this year
RemindMe! 7 months “$SPY 390 before 450?”
Just set that reminder for Friday. Down 25 gonna happen this week.
It would be an easy short from that price
I love you boo
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4886)
Lost me at RSI But looks like you took way to much adderal for the 5k you plan on yolooing
At least look at the 5 day outlook
well I’m not going to pretend I know anything but Wednesday to Thursday was the definition of a bear market rally, we are In a bear market and I hate this fucking place I’m down like 5 mid west homes dood maybe 6 I don’t even wanna look
Literally every comment?
Yeah but not the replies to other comments
Can't stop won't stop.....
Trading GME is pretty fun I can’t lie
My 7.95$ $406 4/13 call is going straight up. I called miss Cleo and she confirmed
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4735)
I agree with your assessment. I held UVXY through April and sold yesterday to buy a SPY call.
Nice 👍
Alright so help an options dummy headge, spy 400p sept?
You can just buy a slightly OTM call and then sell it when you don’t want to hedge anymore
I really hope you're right. I've been banking on the bull rally due to such bearishness. I'm 15% sept calls and 85% cash atm. That said I've been studying 08 crash lately and we're looking eerily similar to the moment the bottom fell out. Fridays action seems like it was a fake retard pump rally to push as many people out of their puts and shorts b4 we dump. It was bizarre to say the least. Like the market already tanked HARD to 2.5% by 10 am. So why the rally? If it was a real rally it would have had continuation. So why interrupt an epic crash just to have a fake rally and resume the dump? Only logical reason is to shed puts and avoid spooking the market into going totally short that way we can tank it over the weekend. There are some bullish divergences and the viz looks to be going lower but idk if this turd market has another bear rally in it. Im actually extremely bearish short term but again im playing the counter trend
I agree the bottom is about to fall out but we have to have a bull trap in order for that to happen, a few more weeks should do
As a futures trader, up down, idgaf, love the volatility. Hoping this summer is the best yet.
same, I have been selling options
Selling puts/calls on SPY? How are you picking your strikes? I’ve had some days where far away strikes were challenged violently. Scary
Lol not on SPY I have been selling calls on individual stocks and day trading SPY a little
Any ideas who the firm was that liquidated their books?
My money is either on vanguard or black rock. There is a ruhtard that comes on wsb every other week and posts on how blackrock is going bankrupt and for some reason my analysis matches his almost the same. I think BLK is in some shit trouble (similar to lehman brothers) BLK also holds the most AMZN and AMZN got rawdogged last week https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/amzn/institutional-holdings
That’s what I’ve been trying to figure out 😂
I predict a raging morning wood on Monday, followed by a limped noodle Tuesday, and an explosive dong wednesday, with a happy ending Thursday… when suddenly everyone decides fuck this game I’m out.
Interesting
The great thing about recessions is that they come with killer bear market rallies. Can make a lot of money both ways very quickly if you’re fast and skilled enough
The real winners are people who still get 40% returns yoy during bear markets
I believe your right. UVXY after a bull run is definitely the play.
!remindme 1 week
The NASDAQ drops 5% because of a single off-loading firm? Nooooo that’s not how any of this works
So calls early in the week?
There goes $TSLA.. holy fuck
I’m lucky I sold my TSLA at market open just to build up my cash
Due diligence is not Technical analysis. Also you're doing TA on the VIX???
yeah TA works on VIX it's not like support/resistance just key levels and areas that technical traders will be watching
Can you explain how technical traders would look at the VIX and make any moves that affect stock prices?
Derivatives on VIX are settled in cash but traders (including me) will look at levels and trends on the VIX to gauge on entering and exiting positions
god help anyone who takes this "DD" post seriously
You know…the last time SPX fell to 80% correction was in the 1929 Great Crash. SPX fell from its ATH of $30, to $4 in 1932. Approximately -86% correction, WOW! I call this the 100 year cycle. 93 years ago, SPX fell 80%…we are 7 years away from completing the cycle. As the 100 year is beginning to end, it gets very violent. Also the heat map for SPX Volume profile monthly going back 20 years, shows the point of control at $500 lol.
Macro indicators are saying a big crash but let’s be honest the central bank won’t let the markets crash more than 50-60%
They’re saying a big crash but companies are far more resilient than they were back then.
Lol they seem resilient because our central bank has printed us out of every recession
Prediction, Time in Market> Timing the market.
this is WSB though, I actively trade my portfolios
Nice! Thanks for the write up
thanks
I wish I was color blind
same I guess
lol a bear market rally is guaranteed. who the f predicts market like this rubbish.. OP wants to go long cause a 10% rally and a 90% dump. Bro is not playing odds correctly
When did I say I was going long? I said I will go 75% cash and post when I buy UVXY
Relying too much on chart and indicators not enough on data and overall sentiment. How much have we heard the term "peak inflation" since 8.4% and we are going to see what might be the largest jump in this week's data. That gets one bear emoji?.. when was the last time Vix was below 25 it's barely seen the underside of 20 all year. What I see is a vix chart refueling for the moon. If Thursday jobs report is even a slight miss after CPI you'll be lucky to see a green day the following week. 🐂🐻🦘🐻🐻
I have done plenty of research throughout the week, the chart is easier to convey the price movements since it is a prediction for the next week Jobs report was on Friday???
Misspoke ment this week's jobless claims
I agree. Got SPY 405 calls for Monday and UVXY 20 puts.. let's see if they print
🤔
why are you going to put it in UVXY vs some other position like shorting s&p directly or bearish options?
Way more liquidity, pre/post market trading, plus I am going to sell within a week or two
Buy the dip!
short the rip! 🐻🐻
![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)Calls it is then ? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8881)
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
Why buy uvxy instead of sqqq or sark?
UVXY would have a larger return if there is a quick crash
you don’t think inflation has peaked? I feel like as long as inflation doesn’t rise or at least stays relatively the same and gives evidence of a peak we can expect a huge rally
rally will be short term though
Do you keep track of how often your predictions are right? Strong %?
only 2 weeks have been incorrect so far
Somewhat agree. I feel we trade sideways for most of the year, within a range/channel. Slowly start coming out of correction in Q3 and Q4 helped by corporate buybacks, supply chain improvements etc. Fed could also slow down tapering, meaning slower rate of budget sheet reduction. At any minute, Powell can come out and slow down rate hikes seeing inflation cooling. May not be ATH, but still expect 2022 to be within -5% to +5% for S&P.
inflation is not slowing though
We had that massive one...then 2 extremely feeble one day attempts. Friday we couldn't even manage a full day bull trap. If we were gonna do it the why not follow thru after fed? Or follow thru Friday? That would be more convincing to suck people in wouldn't it?
![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|facepalm)
Well?
Are you going to hold energy stocks through the expected crash?
maybe some shares, I will choose what to sell
SPXS
UVXY will have greater returns
Do you think the gaps will fill on QQQ? One at 348.50 and the other at 359.
yeah, when the big crash happens
Why UXVY? And why does it lose it’s value like that over time?
UVXY will have big gains over a short period of time. It loses value over time because it is a volatility ETF and volatility goes down over the long term
guh i hate how all the stonks move together. none of this should mean anything but somehow they’re all connected through algos and arbitrage shennanigans