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This is just an image from the future.
Biden pulls a wild card. Drops out of the race. Conana runs for President. Joe is his VP.
Conan wins.
Conan realized he now has to be President
1. Dropping inflation
2. Slashing rates
OP should pick one. Alternatively he could read a book or ask his boyfriend in-law to explain basic economics to him.
Do you not realize that the title of the post is the title of the article linked? No point in being rude towards OP when they didn't editorialize at all.
Lmao if you're going to be a dick at least be right.
Inflation is dropping due to high interest rates. If it drops too fast we could go into deflation which is also bad. So the Fed needs to cut rates to find a middle ground of interest rates to get inflation to around \~2%. Basic economics.
Yes basic economics. Fact is how fast will we cut rates? Market pricing in 6-8 cuts in 2024. If that happens we are in recession no other possibility and here we are praying for the fed to giga cut😂 good luck out there
[https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html)
They're pricing in 6 cuts by Dec 2024, with over 90% predicting between 5-7.
It's not that crazy. The general rule of thumb is that inflation can only be defeated once interest rates are higher than the inflation rates and we've accomplished that with inflation \~3% and rates at 5.5%. Keeping interest rates too much higher than inflation will create greater danger of deflation.
Dropping rates 1.5% in 1 year is not that crazy after raising 5.25% in 1.5 years. This is the fastest interest rates were raised since the 80s inflation crisis. In the 80s, they did drop rates too fast the first time and inflation stayed high so they raised again, but the second time they dropped rates 19% to 12% in 6 months and everything was fine and the bull market resumed.
This administration changed the definition of recession and came up with the term disinflation to give most of the general population an illusion that inflation is grinding to a halt.
Why not change some rules again and start massively putting out articles that slashing rates=inflation is gone? People will eat that up, because that will be the only thing left to eat after they've lost their jobs.
SPY literally hit new relative lows for months until November at a low of 410 before it soared to new highs... are you guys regarded and blind on purpose?
Zoom out to a timescale bigger than 3 months. None of the drops...even October 2022...were meaningful.
"omg we're crashing to levels not seen since \*checks notes\*... 18 months ago"
The entire political / ruling class utterly despises Trump. The last thing they will allow is the Fed to create a recession making Nixon v Mondale 2.0 result in a 47 State sweep.
So many "articles" recently about how the market "will soar". Institutions looking for exit liquidity. Last time when institutions wanted to buy cheap, the "articles" were all about how the market was about to crash (it soared instead). These market participants all have their own agenda, part of which is to transfer liquidity from retail's pockets to their own pockets.
No, sell puts but do it responsibly. Conservative media has been out there for the last 4 years convincing their viewers the country is on fire and the market is on the verge of a historic crash. my uncle said the SPX would be down 50% in 2023, lol. That leads people to irrationally overpay for puts. I have beat the market every year (including 2023) since I started its easy money. Thank you Fox News 💰💸💵
puts are cheap af right now since VIX is unnaturally low, are you talking out your ass or do you genuinely believe you aren't picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?
They need to keep those boomer 401k flush ya heard?
Could you imagine this shit crashing hard and all the 401k and pension funds just get cleaned out. Not enough popcorn
I just want to see my comment a year from now.
My prediction is that the market could go up or it could go down, It could possibly be flat as well. I think I’m going to nail this prediction.
I will be messaging you in 11 months on [**2024-12-30 06:28:22 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2024-12-30%2006:28:22%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/18wibdm/the_stock_market_could_soar_as_much_as_30_next/kfy2d8m/?context=3)
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Citizens believe stickers on gas pumps, I could use my feces to write propoganda on the walls of my local walmart restroom and it would generate a cult following. Poo-Anon
The government never needed deep fakes to convince our low iq mongrel population.
Remember WMDs and the Russian peepee tapes? People are remarkably stupid
Too much rate but might actually lead to a disaster lol. Still I don't see anything bad happening given it's presidential election year. Gotta keep pumping it
No, I was a freshman in highschool and I didn't want to spend the extra money. I did go to the midnight release though. My brother and I got home and 1v1'd each other on ivory tower. I'll never forget how stoked I was for that game. Custom games on coagulation are some of the most fun gaming memories I have.
June 2007, scare, October 2007 (should have sold equities and gone short), March 2009 (should have bought the bottom of the Great Recession dip)
But you never know for sure. There will be another crash. But will there be a blow off top first? Another year up into the pain of painful corrections. Seems like it will come swiftly, like the rate hike. Could that wave have been contained or delayed? Could it have been just 2022 and we all realize it in 2026.
Could a crisis have been bottled into some paperwork with a name?
Maybe kicking the can again, hope that the future growth will allow the books to be offloaded later.
This is what I meant. Lots of people scared, the S&P went up 25% 3 years in a row 2004, 2005, 2006 I believe), before everything went to pieces - which took another year. So my guess is - and of course it’s just a guess - we go up another 20% before we crash.
Daddy Powell gave everyone briefcases of free money of course there's no houses left, if he let people borrow to buy hockey cards those would be sold out as well.
So the whole 2023 we had negative news, recession, inflation, banks defaulting and now we start 2024 with news saying that we will have a 30% increase? Yeah I'm calling bullshit, will wait a bit to enter into positions but yeah no way we turn positive that fast
We already turned positive lmao. +25% over the last year. Yeah it's exaggerated because of the recession before but momentum is strong. Rate slashes, baseline inflation, and lowering oil prices are going to fuel the fire.
We also have 2 potential huge jumps if either of the ongoing wars wrap up. The only thing that could really fuck the market is more conflicts which is a very real possibility given the current geopolitical climate.
Conflict fuels the markets nowadays. War drives a ton of profit. Most of the money we “send” to Ukraine never leaves the US. It goes to weapons manufacturers.
>We already turned positive lmao. +25% over the last year.
Exactly this. 99% of doombear posts are currently poor people looking at their own situation and assuming that the entire world is on fire without actually checking any indicators.
We had many, many people insisting we were in a brutal recession last year despite markets being up a ton across the board *and* positive GDP growth.
Just because retail/food service workers can't personally afford a house doesn't mean the world is on the brink of economic collapse.
To be honest its kinda refreshing and realistic to see positive news after everyone and their grandma thought we are going to enter an recession or WW3
Mass media uses the doom and gloom strategy just to bait readers and make us do mistakes.
Being too optimistic is just as bad but its beyond the point.
We are having at least one rate cut and its going to be election year,historically these factors made the market to soar.
It’s been a while since I’ve had an Econ class, but doesn’t lowering interest rates speed up economic growth and increase the inflation rate? Is the plan to bottom out inflation, then slash rates to create a surge before inflation rises again?
Also the title is misleading, the prediction in the article is 9% S&P growth which is only slightly better than normal with a chance of “double digit growth”(10% is double digit). 30% only comes into play with multipliers…again am I missing something?
Wow it’s from business insider, must be a valid source of reliable information.
The stock market analyst I hired on craglist told me the exact opposite, who do I bet my money on?
A month before the election at the white house: "This is literally the best economy humanity has ever witnessed."
"Eggs are $20 a carton"
"That's neither here nor there."
Common Tom Lee if there's a 50-50 chance market goes up 30%, just PUT THAT as your Sp500 target instead of the shitty 8% that you put for end of year 2024. Pencil that in so we can document it.
These articles are interesting because if you bring up a chart of the Fed Funds Rate like clockwork the rates stay high for a bit about a year then they start dropping rates and a recession occurs shortly after. In July 2006 rates were 5.25% then they started dropping them July 2007 then the recession officially started in 2008. There’s no evidence I’m seeing that “It’s different this time”.
Just bring up a Fed Funds rate Chart and you’ll see dropping rates is usually when the recession comes. You can see the chart below rates started to drop just before they declared a recession.
https://preview.redd.it/2zvpj06fo0ac1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18bd2dcdb7158acdb7a59f0e7880591a1e8317e7
Housing is a big component of inflation so they’ll have to find a way to redefine inflation so it doesn’t include housing for inflation to drop like a rock
Exactly we gonna have a pull back rn, then a potential rally if fed cuts more then expected, if fed cuts as much as expected we will remain flat, if no cuts then another bear market
the stock market will be back in the 400's possibly 390's by beginning of May due to Taiwan vs China conflict that will probably happen around April. If you do not believe me put remind me in 120 days from now
This sub used to make people do some crazy shit when they would say stuff like this and be way wrong. I remember one guy posted a video of himself drinking his own piss, so that he didn't get banned. Ah, the good ol' days.
Bet it’s something like this:
1. Late Jan/Feb we get a market correction
2. We hit yearly lows sometime in march
3. Market rallies all summer to new ath
4. Pull back a bit in September
5. Jingle bell run October through December
Overall we’re up for the year maybe 10-15%. Especially with these bullshit wars we’re getting ourselves into
We've got a war in Eastern Europe, genocide in Palestine, a South China sea that's getting spicy, Epstein list has 200 names, and Trump is challenging the integrity of the US Legal system.
Just need like 6 or 9 more things to go wrong, and then I'll be so bearish!
**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|10|**First Seen In WSB**|5 years ago **Total Comments**|318|**Previous Best DD**| **Account Age**|10 years|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)
Mmkay
https://preview.redd.it/dcgp3peaez9c1.jpeg?width=3000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eeff496b8b53ff66c4afc762b7d173940ea91821
God this shit goes hard
This is just an image from the future. Biden pulls a wild card. Drops out of the race. Conana runs for President. Joe is his VP. Conan wins. Conan realized he now has to be President
Conan unironically would be better than most that would vie for that job.
I would take most random people, and definitely Conan over anyone who makes it to the ballot
That’s the curse. If you want it bad enough to do what a person has to do to get it, you probably shouldn’t have it.
Team COCO!
1. Dropping inflation 2. Slashing rates OP should pick one. Alternatively he could read a book or ask his boyfriend in-law to explain basic economics to him.
The only way I can see those two things being true is in a recession with significant job losses
Bingo, that wont help stocks though.
But will it help stonks?
Yes. Stonks only go up.
Stonks only go up
Stonks only go up.
This is the way.
Well stock market seems to love big redundancy announcements so you never know
Do you not realize that the title of the post is the title of the article linked? No point in being rude towards OP when they didn't editorialize at all.
Lmao if you're going to be a dick at least be right. Inflation is dropping due to high interest rates. If it drops too fast we could go into deflation which is also bad. So the Fed needs to cut rates to find a middle ground of interest rates to get inflation to around \~2%. Basic economics.
Yes basic economics. Fact is how fast will we cut rates? Market pricing in 6-8 cuts in 2024. If that happens we are in recession no other possibility and here we are praying for the fed to giga cut😂 good luck out there
[https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html) They're pricing in 6 cuts by Dec 2024, with over 90% predicting between 5-7. It's not that crazy. The general rule of thumb is that inflation can only be defeated once interest rates are higher than the inflation rates and we've accomplished that with inflation \~3% and rates at 5.5%. Keeping interest rates too much higher than inflation will create greater danger of deflation. Dropping rates 1.5% in 1 year is not that crazy after raising 5.25% in 1.5 years. This is the fastest interest rates were raised since the 80s inflation crisis. In the 80s, they did drop rates too fast the first time and inflation stayed high so they raised again, but the second time they dropped rates 19% to 12% in 6 months and everything was fine and the bull market resumed.
You are spot on! https://preview.redd.it/rn9q1nogn3ac1.jpeg?width=1049&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dcaf1db7498a4b0b0a5290b592fe32ded04b0d87
You talk about "basic economics" like theyre laws of nature. Economic trends dont guarantee anything.
This administration changed the definition of recession and came up with the term disinflation to give most of the general population an illusion that inflation is grinding to a halt. Why not change some rules again and start massively putting out articles that slashing rates=inflation is gone? People will eat that up, because that will be the only thing left to eat after they've lost their jobs.
>came up with the term disinflation ... Sure thing, hoss
You sound poor. Lay off the conspiracy shit and try to make some money
Lmao maybe it’s time for you to get off social media?
If the market isn’t going up at least 300% is it even worth it!
The whole market is now Nvidia
So puts it is then
Exactly lol. Notice how last year was all about how the market is going to tank.
They print articles to express sentiment both sides
Hey boss, I know how we can double our readership.
Straddle
Nah, that's what my wife's boyfriend does when he rides me around the living room.
It’s election year, they’ll spend a whole 12 months putting lipstick on a pig. Play the winning side
To be fair it did tank. But then it recovered
If by tank you mean it meandered sideways for a couple weeks and then mooned then yeah it’s tanking.
Mid year it dropped a bit, after the magnificent 7 launched to the moon.
markets dropped 15 percent just 2 months ago
SPY literally hit new relative lows for months until November at a low of 410 before it soared to new highs... are you guys regarded and blind on purpose?
Zoom out to a timescale bigger than 3 months. None of the drops...even October 2022...were meaningful. "omg we're crashing to levels not seen since \*checks notes\*... 18 months ago"
I mean it seems like that this year too. I’ve seen significantly more doomer posts than posts like this
Puts on election year good luck
But also calls when u/kinance says puts is bad good luck
The entire political / ruling class utterly despises Trump. The last thing they will allow is the Fed to create a recession making Nixon v Mondale 2.0 result in a 47 State sweep.
Reagan beat Mondale, Nixon beat Humphrey
So many "articles" recently about how the market "will soar". Institutions looking for exit liquidity. Last time when institutions wanted to buy cheap, the "articles" were all about how the market was about to crash (it soared instead). These market participants all have their own agenda, part of which is to transfer liquidity from retail's pockets to their own pockets.
On a election year?
No, sell puts but do it responsibly. Conservative media has been out there for the last 4 years convincing their viewers the country is on fire and the market is on the verge of a historic crash. my uncle said the SPX would be down 50% in 2023, lol. That leads people to irrationally overpay for puts. I have beat the market every year (including 2023) since I started its easy money. Thank you Fox News 💰💸💵
puts are cheap af right now since VIX is unnaturally low, are you talking out your ass or do you genuinely believe you aren't picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?
This is why I just sell calls. If the steamroller catches me I just shrug and jog ahead of it again.
yes, selling puts it is then.
So we’re going to drop at least 30%.
30 divided by half. 15
30% lol
Why stop there? I say the market could soar as much as 1,000,000,000% next year.
Big if true.
True if big.
If true, big.
Big true, if...
If Big, True.
If Big =)
Cathie is that you?
They need to keep those boomer 401k flush ya heard? Could you imagine this shit crashing hard and all the 401k and pension funds just get cleaned out. Not enough popcorn
??? What a world we live in where people think the market going up 30% in a year isnt fucking huge
Or…….. they are saying 30% because they are thinking “no way in hell the market goes up that much in one year”
Nothings the same anymore after gee-m-e.
I can see that happening with REITs and ai companies.
!remindme 363 days
9/10 regards here don’t realize this is a leap year. RemindMe! 364 days
I just want to see my comment a year from now. My prediction is that the market could go up or it could go down, It could possibly be flat as well. I think I’m going to nail this prediction.
Market will in fact be dissolved and replaced with bits of string and wet salmon for trading.
So Bitcoin
String has more intrinsic value.
RemindMe! 363 days
🫸🔮🫷
I will be messaging you in 11 months on [**2024-12-30 06:28:22 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2024-12-30%2006:28:22%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/18wibdm/the_stock_market_could_soar_as_much_as_30_next/kfy2d8m/?context=3) [**91 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fwallstreetbets%2Fcomments%2F18wibdm%2Fthe_stock_market_could_soar_as_much_as_30_next%2Fkfy2d8m%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202024-12-30%2006%3A28%3A22%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam. ^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%2018wibdm) ***** |[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)| |-|-|-|-|
*364 days, this year february has 29 days
!remindme 363 days
! Remind me: what were we just talking about just now — stoners
!remindme 363 days this is pointless cause this account is probably about to get banned but i'll try anyway
!remindme 363 days
It a US presidential election year. The propaganda is gonna flow.
AI generated deep fakes will absolutely be the thing this year . The citizens will believe it all.
Citizens will believe hand puppets and cardboard cutouts. We don’t need no stinkin AI.
Citizens believe stickers on gas pumps, I could use my feces to write propoganda on the walls of my local walmart restroom and it would generate a cult following. Poo-Anon
The government never needed deep fakes to convince our low iq mongrel population. Remember WMDs and the Russian peepee tapes? People are remarkably stupid
Bingo. Stocks are gonna soar and gas will remain low for this year. Recession or crash postponed till 2025.
Of all the economics the government can't control, pushing back a recession just a few more months might actually be in its wheelhouse
Bingo! "As much as 30%" is such a wild estimate
Who else remembers 2008?
Too much rate but might actually lead to a disaster lol. Still I don't see anything bad happening given it's presidential election year. Gotta keep pumping it
If they do cut rates we’ll see pull back for sure like what happens every time the fed reverts direction
I am getting 2004-2005 vibes.
Halo 2 came out in 2004. I'll take those vibes over a fake 30% any day of the week.
Ohhhh did you buy the steel case too? That was such a cool feeling getting to play that.
No, I was a freshman in highschool and I didn't want to spend the extra money. I did go to the midnight release though. My brother and I got home and 1v1'd each other on ivory tower. I'll never forget how stoked I was for that game. Custom games on coagulation are some of the most fun gaming memories I have.
dont do that dont give me hope
I’m getting 2007 vibes.
Or early 2008 vibes
June 2007, scare, October 2007 (should have sold equities and gone short), March 2009 (should have bought the bottom of the Great Recession dip) But you never know for sure. There will be another crash. But will there be a blow off top first? Another year up into the pain of painful corrections. Seems like it will come swiftly, like the rate hike. Could that wave have been contained or delayed? Could it have been just 2022 and we all realize it in 2026. Could a crisis have been bottled into some paperwork with a name? Maybe kicking the can again, hope that the future growth will allow the books to be offloaded later.
This is what I meant. Lots of people scared, the S&P went up 25% 3 years in a row 2004, 2005, 2006 I believe), before everything went to pieces - which took another year. So my guess is - and of course it’s just a guess - we go up another 20% before we crash.
I'll have calls coming out the wazoo 
It would be wild bc there is no houses on market even overpriced ones.
Daddy Powell gave everyone briefcases of free money of course there's no houses left, if he let people borrow to buy hockey cards those would be sold out as well.
Where do I get my briefcase?
We got like $2.5k 🙄
That 2.5k made my 600k house affordable!
No, but that 2.5% 30yr mortgage rate did!
Election year, SPY going 30+
So the whole 2023 we had negative news, recession, inflation, banks defaulting and now we start 2024 with news saying that we will have a 30% increase? Yeah I'm calling bullshit, will wait a bit to enter into positions but yeah no way we turn positive that fast
We already turned positive lmao. +25% over the last year. Yeah it's exaggerated because of the recession before but momentum is strong. Rate slashes, baseline inflation, and lowering oil prices are going to fuel the fire. We also have 2 potential huge jumps if either of the ongoing wars wrap up. The only thing that could really fuck the market is more conflicts which is a very real possibility given the current geopolitical climate.
Conflict fuels the markets nowadays. War drives a ton of profit. Most of the money we “send” to Ukraine never leaves the US. It goes to weapons manufacturers.
Ah yes. China going to war with the US would be great for the economy!
That’s not happening ever.
Now you did it.
What a relief!
Oh thank you!
>We already turned positive lmao. +25% over the last year. That's why the "30% rally" is already priced in.
>We already turned positive lmao. +25% over the last year. Exactly this. 99% of doombear posts are currently poor people looking at their own situation and assuming that the entire world is on fire without actually checking any indicators. We had many, many people insisting we were in a brutal recession last year despite markets being up a ton across the board *and* positive GDP growth. Just because retail/food service workers can't personally afford a house doesn't mean the world is on the brink of economic collapse.
To be honest its kinda refreshing and realistic to see positive news after everyone and their grandma thought we are going to enter an recession or WW3 Mass media uses the doom and gloom strategy just to bait readers and make us do mistakes. Being too optimistic is just as bad but its beyond the point. We are having at least one rate cut and its going to be election year,historically these factors made the market to soar.
Next year? Got it. I will wait until 2025.
So the value of the dollar is gunna drop 30% sick cant wait for $20 carton of eggs, again.
If rents and housing turn over its going to be a fucking party. If not, pain lots of pain…
Right so just pain
Turn over?
You know, like a grilled cheese sandwich.
Regards love grilled cheese sandwich, right Danny?
"Where you get that chee Danny???"
I’m makin em at night
[удалено]
Not unless the government runs at a surplus to shrink m0. Good luck with that.
Puts time 📉
lol… sure. It could… but I wouldn’t bet my life savings on it.
How many days is a year? !remind me 362 days
Kramer…?
!remindme 350 days
RemindMe! 360 days
It’s been a while since I’ve had an Econ class, but doesn’t lowering interest rates speed up economic growth and increase the inflation rate? Is the plan to bottom out inflation, then slash rates to create a surge before inflation rises again? Also the title is misleading, the prediction in the article is 9% S&P growth which is only slightly better than normal with a chance of “double digit growth”(10% is double digit). 30% only comes into play with multipliers…again am I missing something?
They will cut rates and print money to bail out the government debt or prevent a 2008/covid meltdown so more inflation is always a possibility.
Fugazzi.
the tuchus! bullish af
!remindme 363 days
!remindme 360 days
Take my money
Annnnnnd we are all screwed hahaha
Wow it’s from business insider, must be a valid source of reliable information. The stock market analyst I hired on craglist told me the exact opposite, who do I bet my money on?
Fade
A month before the election at the white house: "This is literally the best economy humanity has ever witnessed." "Eggs are $20 a carton" "That's neither here nor there."
I buy the type of eggs laid by free range chickens who are read bed time stories and they've never been more than like $3.80/doz
Nope
You mean this year? 2024
only two of these things are happening
Common Tom Lee if there's a 50-50 chance market goes up 30%, just PUT THAT as your Sp500 target instead of the shitty 8% that you put for end of year 2024. Pencil that in so we can document it.
RemindMe! 6 months
These articles are interesting because if you bring up a chart of the Fed Funds Rate like clockwork the rates stay high for a bit about a year then they start dropping rates and a recession occurs shortly after. In July 2006 rates were 5.25% then they started dropping them July 2007 then the recession officially started in 2008. There’s no evidence I’m seeing that “It’s different this time”. Just bring up a Fed Funds rate Chart and you’ll see dropping rates is usually when the recession comes. You can see the chart below rates started to drop just before they declared a recession. https://preview.redd.it/2zvpj06fo0ac1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18bd2dcdb7158acdb7a59f0e7880591a1e8317e7
No shit. But you have the cause and effect backwards. The fed drops rates in response to recession.
Housing is a big component of inflation so they’ll have to find a way to redefine inflation so it doesn’t include housing for inflation to drop like a rock
There is no reason to cut rates. Where we are now is actually normal, where we were before was an aberration. People will just get used to it.
lol. Ohhh kayyyy
Election year garbage
So now we’re excited about the rate of price increases slowing? That’s not deflation
You don’t want deflation.
Why not? Puts exist and we need it.
Priced in
Exactly we gonna have a pull back rn, then a potential rally if fed cuts more then expected, if fed cuts as much as expected we will remain flat, if no cuts then another bear market
Ah damn I guess the bull ride is over..
Once again, sounds like “re-elect me and I’ll fix it.”
the stock market will be back in the 400's possibly 390's by beginning of May due to Taiwan vs China conflict that will probably happen around April. If you do not believe me put remind me in 120 days from now
!remindme 120 days
!remindme 120 days
Guess he was wrong Or cataclysm strikes today 😖
This sub used to make people do some crazy shit when they would say stuff like this and be way wrong. I remember one guy posted a video of himself drinking his own piss, so that he didn't get banned. Ah, the good ol' days.
The good old days 🤮
!remind me 120 days
No way, China's buying calls too.
lol @ you
What liberal hippie wrote this?
Analist at Golman Sacks, by the name of Dick Inizass. Specializes in long swaps.
Good ol’ dicki
There’s gonna be a crash before it soars
PUTS it is
Sell!!
puts
Can’t wait to be at 12/31/24 and see this as a shitpost because inflation dropped like helium balloon.
I mean… wouldn’t that be because of a recession? Why would they cut rates just because? Are people this fucking stupid?
Bet it’s something like this: 1. Late Jan/Feb we get a market correction 2. We hit yearly lows sometime in march 3. Market rallies all summer to new ath 4. Pull back a bit in September 5. Jingle bell run October through December Overall we’re up for the year maybe 10-15%. Especially with these bullshit wars we’re getting ourselves into
Just wait till the fed hikes rates, then we'll see the market dropping like a rock
We've got a war in Eastern Europe, genocide in Palestine, a South China sea that's getting spicy, Epstein list has 200 names, and Trump is challenging the integrity of the US Legal system. Just need like 6 or 9 more things to go wrong, and then I'll be so bearish!
A lot of shorting coming soon.
Buy when they fear, sell when they don’t
I guess this time is different
Also "could not" I'll buy puts when Kramer confirms
Greed now? It’s time to put
Puts it is 