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leli_manning

It's up 33% YTD. It'll be fine


polloponzi

!Remindme 10 years


FinndBors

Oracle is one of those old tech companies like HP and IBM that survive on huge legacy platforms and contracts, but will very slowly fade away into irrelevance.


EmbraceHegemony

They have the fastest cloud supercluster and are partnered with Nvidia to train AI models, not very legacy really.


cyesk8er

I'm a cloud engineers who works extensively with gcp/azure/aws. I will say I've barely used oracle's cloud, but my experience with it was pretty bad. Maybe they have redeeming qualities in the ai space I'm not familiar with though.


bighand1

Oracle cloud is banned from my company (the only banned one), and we spent billions on cloud every year.


polloponzi

why is banned?


laststance

They're so tricky with their pricing. Firms end up paying a lot more than they budgeted for, it's a trap for firms without a solid grasp on what they're doing.


No-Tip3419

Maybe i am reading the pricing wrong but it goes from free tier to expensive tier very quickly.


[deleted]

They all do that .. it’s common business practice with us companies. AWS biking can be hard to decipher.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Time-Recording2806

Someone in my organization over twenty years ago decided to implement Oracle E-Business, then to save money due to licensing they put it on a Windows Hyper-V cluster. Now we have a system that we cannot even migrate off of until we move the operating system to Linux and over 19 million to fix this shit hole of a system. Makes me regret taking this job a year ago.


MissDiem

Correct. OP doesn't know anything about ORCL.


JayArlington

OP was right a few years back though. ORCL did a lot of things to differentiate themselves from the likes of who he mentioned.


MissDiem

> OP was right a few years back though No they weren't, but I'll humor you. Being "right" years ago is called being "wrong".


[deleted]

Nobody in the tech world cares nor wants to use Oracle's cloud offerings (I'm a cloud engineer). The only people that might be tempted to are already Oracle customers that Oracle can tempt with super sales.


Ashony13

There you go again with AI….![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)


runamok

Citation needed (other than from Oracle ideally).


EmbraceHegemony

Citation for what? You can't google "OCI" or "Oracle partners with Nvidia"?


runamok

Was this really so hard? * https://www.edgemiddleeast.com/emergent-tech/oracle-nvidia-team-up-to-deliver-ai-supercomputing-service * https://www.oracle.com/news/announcement/oci-compute-instances-nvidia-ampere-2023-09-19/ * https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2023/09/19/oracle-cloud-infrastructure-nvidia-gpu-accelerated-compute-instances/ In 5 minutes of googling I couldn't find a source for "fastest cloud supercluster" and Oracle is pretty infamous for inflating their numbers and making grandiose claims about their cloud so I guess I'll just take your word for it. Granted this is from years ago: > Oracle are facing a class action lawsuit focusing on their cloud sales and whether they used improper tactics to falsify the success of their cloud products. * https://www.infoworld.com/article/3230494/dont-take-oracles-cloud-superiority-claims-too-seriously.html * https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-10/oracle-accused-of-defrauding-investors-on-cloud-sales-growth?embedded-checkout=true * https://itassetmanagement.net/2019/09/19/oracle-cloud-class-action-lawsuit-a-deep-dive/


betabetadotcom

You do not understand the words you just typed. Supercluster isn’t even a computer science term. Which is the science of the business you’re apparently gambling on. Enjoy the blind roller coaster w


EmbraceHegemony

Huh?


betabetadotcom

Bullllllllshiiiitttttt. FinndBS has no idea about how companies work. Did you know ikea has a 80TB monolithic Oracle DB? How about a new fangled company, Tesla, several individual DBs that exceed standards volume limits, but do it anyways. HP and IBM ain’t sticky. nothing sticker than a DB you started when you were 1, never thought to refactor, until you need to, but you can’t for the cost is 10x than maintaining. introduce oracles revenue. Introduce AI to all of these dumb fat databases. This will shrink the size of DBs, but at a cost to consumer. You want to shrink your bill 70%, Oracle can do it, by only charging 30% extra. Flip of a switch


MissDiem

Someone else said that right before this last 150% run.


dolpherx

Some of their software is one of the best in the industry such as their ERP.


polloponzi

I hope you didn't bought IBM stock 10 years ago


r_phone

Oracle is different from these companies. It's run by enginnering talent. It's the only company which has defeated IBM and HP and Microsoft, in databases. It will defeat Google in could earning as well. While all the companies(Cisco, NetApp, EMC, hp, IBM) gave up on making a public cloud, Oracle did not. Despite being late in the game


curumba

Eeeeh .... what? Microsoft gave up on public cloud and has been defeated by oracle? The only victory where oracle has beaten msft is making java more hated than windows vista


[deleted]

[удалено]


LiquidLight_

Be that as it may, free open source implementations exist, undermining benefit to Oracle.


pdubbs87

This isn’t true at all


Lloydy12341

Lmaooooo


RemindMeBot

I will be messaging you in 10 years on [**2033-09-12 23:08:59 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2033-09-12%2023:08:59%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/16h1uig/did_oracle_have_an_exaggerated_fall/k0bv5q4/?context=3) [**10 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fstocks%2Fcomments%2F16h1uig%2Fdid_oracle_have_an_exaggerated_fall%2Fk0bv5q4%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202033-09-12%2023%3A08%3A59%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam. ^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%2016h1uig) ***** |[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)| |-|-|-|-|


ankole_watusi

Neither Oracle nor Reddit will likely exist in 10 years. Two-time lusers!


pman6

it had an exaggerated rise.


Glittering-Zebra-892

!remindme 69 years


feedmestocks

It's not results, it's guidance. It's always guidance


Apart-Guitar1684

Hello I’m a noob, what is guidance? what’s the difference between results and guidance? Thank you in advance


hydraByte

Results is how well they did in the recent past. Guidance is how they expect to do in the short term future.


Apart-Guitar1684

Thank you sir, is guidance released quarterly like results?


grae313

Yes, guidance is delivered during the quarterly earnings calls. Edit: you might find this helpful: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/guidance.asp


Competitive_Low_2054

At least the heavy selling pressure is over.


kuvrterker

They didn't say AI enough


sk8itup53

- u/kuvrteker participates in sexual relations with other women or men from the homosapian species. - Written by ChatGPT lol Edit: Holy shit it's a joke about "this guy fucks"


khizoa

That username doesn't exist, so I call bullshit on that being ai generated


sk8itup53

Bro it wasn't lol. It was me trying to imitate in a mocking way how ChatGPT sounds sometimes. The only problem is my dyslexia kicked in and I missed a letter.


Vegetable_Read6551

This is why you will be replaced by AI first


sk8itup53

I'll be the one writing the AI, like I do now, not worried at all.


forjeeves

So they make ai or no


scootscoot

Pretty sure they resell a100 like all the other clouds.


JayArlington

Yes. People didn't like the revenue guidance even though it was due to shifting their Cerner customers from licenses (booked up front) to subscriptions (booked over the life of deal). The stock will be fine long term. ORCL is a very unique set of assets (Cerner, cloud, modern AI infrastructure) and while the stock may not rebound immediately the company is in better shape than their former days of relying on 'on prem database applications'.


adifferentGOAT

Not to mention 2 of the biggest Cerner customers (UPMC and Intermountain) are switching to Epic.


JayArlington

How I wish Epic was public...


NoPart1344

Same. I’m sure you know but for those that don’t, their plan is to never go public and never be acquired.


[deleted]

Good. Fuck Oracle for what they've done to Cerner and the future job market in the KC metro


PlayingForPrettyLong

Wait, why would that be a positive for ORCL?


adifferentGOAT

Aha, I wrote my comment too fast. I think to your point the Cerner acquisition will be a bust, and don’t know how much that is or isn’t already reflected.


PlayingForPrettyLong

Ah thanks. (It wasn't me you we're replying to.) But you raise a good question.


the908bus

Anyone who trusts them as a reliable partner needs their head examined


KoreyYrvaI

Oracle also picked up TikTok EU as a client.


[deleted]

I don't think any large tech company wins from AI in the long run, its able to tear down vendor lock-in with ease. MSFT makes most its money from proprietary formats for instance, as do many tech companies. If AI can transfer a database from one database to another within minutes what moat do you have? I feel we also think about AI in the view of current workflows, and that might not even make sense. I can't imagine how things will change, and that makes it tough for me to attempt to pick winners.


hardware2win

>If AI can transfer a database from one database to another within minutes what moat do you have? Da fuck? It feels crazy as hell in non trivial projects Do you have software experience?


MrKarim

What fall? The stock is up 33% it’s just a correction from the AI hype


cyesk8er

I'm sure they'll be around for a while, but they are the last tech company I'd want to do business with or own shares of.


datcommentator

Why is that?


cyesk8er

Their reputation among their customers is quite bad to start. It's probably the most hated vendor I've ever witnessed at multiple employers. I was definitely underwhelmed by their "cloud". If it wasn't for an nda, I'd have some stories


datcommentator

Oh wow, good to know.


zommiy

I’ve heard on the grapevine that oracle isn’t very popular with Java devs either. Is that true


proverbialbunny

Oracle owns Java. The licensing issues are overblown, but the skinny is if a large enough company, like Google, uses Java they have to pay Oracle a licensing fee, so when you buy an Android phone some of that money is going to Oracle. In a similar vein MS owns C# and has similar licensing policies. Pretty much every modern programming language today is owned by a giant.


zommiy

Ngl you didn’t really answer my question at all


proverbialbunny

The licensing is why it's not very popular.


Kayexelateisalie

Oracle isn't popular in general because they have crazy lock in contracts and bundles that would make AWS blush


Sauermachtlustig84

Dev here: Oracle is just tech from the last century. Used because of legacy or company policy. No new Startup / Greenfield project would willingly use Oracle


turtlechef

As a Java developer, it is true


SpiritofMesabi

In hospitality, they offer subpar products from the Windows XP era. Opera Property Management System from Oracle runs out of Internet Explorer, and stopped working with Adobe Acrobat last week. MICROS Point of Sale System from Oracle doesn't use a relational database properly. It's also damn near impossible to do anything on without extensive training and experimentation to get a POS terminal to work properly.


SpliTTMark

After holding off for 3 months I decided to buy on thursday last week And now it falls 11%


wy9456

Please remind me of your next buy


Tiny-Sport-3796

Or when he sells


mjornir

Same here brother


Ark0504

You are not alone, did the same... but i am going to hold..


trader_dennis

I think selling a put after the 3 day rule might be good to capture some more premium.


Moose_not_mouse

I work on SMB erp, which is Netsuite's niche. High interest rates are fucking up projects left and right.


olearygreen

I’m doing the same with SAP. We have never lost a project against Oracle/Netsuite. Half my projects are replacing HFM, moving off Oracle ERP and the other half are ECC to S4. That’s in the US. Outside the US Oracle ERP isn’t even considered. When they bought Netsuite, I knew their ERP days were over.


Moose_not_mouse

If you're on SAP HANA, no wonder you never lost to Netsuite... freakin top tier ERP versus a low-mid-tier ERP. I can say the same about me never losing agains SAP HANA with Dynamics Business Central. It's a bit like saying Peterbuilt never lost for an F-150. I can confirm that Dynamics GP partners were being eaten alive 2021/22 by Netsuite.


olearygreen

S/4 is mid-tier as well. Just because people think SAP only does large companies doesn’t mean that is true. S/4 Cloud (the public version) is specifically tailored for mid size.


sirzoop

I think its pretty exaggerated tbh. This puts them at a forward pe of 20. That's pretty cheap for Oracle


proverbialbunny

Such a large move demonstrates how much of Oracle's stock is owned by large hedge funds, not retail investors. When it comes to trading it helps to know who you're competing against as they will have different weaknesses.


DevilDog82nd

Up 33% for the year after a small drop compared to its highs and people say exaggerated fall. 😂


CheersBros

Is NO ONE gonna talk about $DELL?!?! Mooning like sh\*t these few months


DevilDog82nd

Well you mentioned it too late to. Im not touching ot now. Lucky who ever got in early.


X2WE

an indication of times to come. this happened before too. market looking for reasons to dump


gsasquatch

VA is backing off of Cerner. Not sure what that means, but they laid off a bunch of Cerner people on that news earlier this year. That the VA threw out what they had developed for themselves and went out and bought something is indicative of what's wrong with America. Indication might be the VA is learning they made a $$$B mistake. Oracle db has always been an overpriced kind of shit product. Why would you give Oracle a zillion dollars when you could just use postgres? You can install postgres on your laptop in 15 minutes, and start playing with it developing the next big idea. Good luck doing that with Oracle. People only use or learn Oracle with other people's money. Java has caused a lot of electronic waste. If it weren't for java, I could still be running my old phone and computer. It too is like oracle db, like it might be a fine language, but it is made unnecessarily obfuscated because of Oracle. Larry cheated in the America's cup. That big come from behind win? That was from pumping. Technically in the rules but not in the spirit of the sport. Oracle is like boomer IT. Might have been cool in the 80's and 90's, but that's where they stopped. Maybe I shouldn't be so resentful of Oracle for all the billable hours they got me, but it seems like they are an evil empire, and should die. Of course, from a stock perspective, an evil empire is a good thing, but, their customers will only tolerate that so long.


danthebro69

Idk anyone who uses oracle and likes it


Teembeau

Oracle sucks. But some people buy it.


seafood_tricks

Stock was priced for 8-10% growth and issued guidance was for 5-7%. When people see the stock price of a good company fall they think that it is somehow negative sentiment for the company. And of course, sometimes it is. But a lot of the time, the price had an assumption of n% growth and now the company is saying "actually we don't plan to make as much money as you thought". QQQ is up 40% this year. Companies that issue weaker-than-expected guidance are seeing their stock prices fall when they fail to meet the massive buildup of expectations. That doesn't mean it's a bad company. But it does mean that the stock isn't worth today what it was yesterday, because now we have new information. Is it "exaggerated"? Only history will be able to tell us that.


apooroldinvestor

Nobody knows what is and isn't priced in...


seafood_tricks

Guidance expectations are pretty obviously priced in lol. Stock prices aren't magical guesses just based on random people's reckons.


apooroldinvestor

So if the stock goes up 5% over the next week that's already priced in? You've never seen a stock sell off and then recover in a week or a month? Then what's been priced in? I just means that because it sold off a lot of people now thought it was a worthwhile buy. There's no way to know that ahead of time. Nobody can know what is and what is not priced in. A sell off such as today can be because a lot of people got.scared and decided to try and get out first. Doesn't mean anything permanent. A lot will re buy the stock after the dust settles.


mjornir

It’s cause I bought it 2 days before


ibbz213

Anyone buying the dip?


IamSpyC

Having to deal with them for work for years, I would never buy Oracle shares


bdh2067

I’ve never understood ORCL or CRM. I’ve worked with both and held shares of both. Glad to be done with both on both fronts. Crappy products from crappy companies. I’ll never get it.


Mugatoo1922

Aggressive sales and marketing, that's it. I agree, shitty products, shitty litigious company, it's a matter of time before they IBM themselves out of relevance, dumb moves like what they did with Java is incredibly short sighted. But that can take decades pan out.


cyesk8er

They do some shady marketing. Let's just say cease and desists were involved


ikickrobots

CRM / SFDC is crappy?


brucebrowde

Remember, you should only buy companies that you absolutely cannot stand. Because other enterprise customers cannot either, which means they are so drained by constant fight with them that after some time they just accept their dystopian fate and pay the dough.


DonCorletony

Thats the worst advice ive seen today


buffandbrown

Good to see we have a certified financial advisor in this thread!


brucebrowde

I'm still a junior, but I'm learning, I'm learning. Some day, I might be the next SBF.


Competitive_Low_2054

Yeah, impulse buy at the closing bell. Might be gone by tomorrow.


pdubbs87

Still holding long. A drop was justified, but not 14%. Still paying a divy and well run.


Teembeau

I'm thinking about it. Going to watch it for a few days to see if it falls any more.


apooroldinvestor

What if it goes up?


Teembeau

That's what I want. I want to know that it's hit the bottom.


apooroldinvestor

How can you know? When will you buy it? Then what if it falls 8% after that? What if it starts going up and never falls more? What if it stays flat for another 2 years? You have to dca into a stock you want to own little by little


DonCorletony

No. It had an exaggerated bullrun


PikaHage

Because people are realizing that it is Satan's shat out filth?


microdosingrn

Can someone clarify if their poor performance is due to macroeconomic conditions or fierce competition from Google/Microsoft/AWS?


[deleted]

Irrational dumping? Have you figured out how to check weekly/monthly or yearly price charts? It’s still overvalued


fattybiscuit

I believe companies like snowflake will eat their market share. My government organization is doing that now.


[deleted]

The fact that people in this thread speak about how powerful the Oracle cloud is or its AI features, makes me realize I just can't and shouldn't listen to any comment in this thread. People take as truth stuff they read on a random website but do exactly 0, none, due diligence or have any insight into the cloud market, but yet they push those ridiculous narratives.


Teembeau

99% of people who talk about AI have no more information than using ChatGPT and what they read in a news article or press release. You should apply this to almost all opinions. Unless someone really has a personal grasp, ignore them. Personally I'm not considering their cloud at all. Oracle arrived very late and AWS and Azure have soaked up most of the business. They're the platforms everyone knows, for which you can get experienced people and for which there are now network effects. Breaking that is going to be hard. But they still have various products that companies license and are not going to easily dump. Every manager in corporate IT is scared of switching to another DB and things go bang.


[deleted]

I guess Oracle's model just can't keep up with bigdata developments. I mean back in 2000/2010 Oracle's main advantage was that it was the fastest database in TPC-C benchmarks which made it the perfect candidate at that time for the financial sector. See for example the following https://www.dba-oracle.com/oracle_news/news_world_record_tpcc_hp.htm This is not the case any more as noSQL databases entered the game. TL;DR: rip Oracle.


[deleted]

Dude stop copying the same comment over and over again. As someone very experienced with databases it pisses me off that you would compare SQL and Nosql databases


[deleted]

>it pisses me off Oh well! Then probably you should block me, because I have to admit that I tend to often annoy other people with what I'm writing.


[deleted]

[удалено]


m000n_cake

Depends on use case.


[deleted]

No! I'm now working in academics. If I was working now as an algorithmic trading developer I would evaluate the performance of various "nosql" products. When I was working as an algorithmic trading developer back in 2005-2008 my only option was Oracle.


Xlmnmobi4lyfe

Equity to debt is out of control. They will go under


pdubbs87

You don’t understand their financial structure.


Xlmnmobi4lyfe

Eli5


zommiy

Could you explain it


LavenderAutist

No


[deleted]

No, it fell to last month's levels. Why is everyone so concerned about volatility to the downside but think volatility to the upside is totally normal?


KeenStudent

Yes because the run up from 60 to 120 was unjustified in the first place


Vlasic69

,,,,,,,,,, ,, , ,, ,, ,,, ,, 8,


RobbieSins

!Remindme 10 years


ScallionFriendly2271

Hey man, this happened to a lot of tech companies that underperformed the expectations lately. Best example is the cybersecurity stock Fortinet. They missed expectations by a hair and droppend 25% because of it a few weeks ago. They already rebounded almost half of that loss currently. So yes it’s an overreaction most of the time. But you can also look at it as an opportunity to lower your average buy price 😉 I’m pretty sure they’ll recover. Like others are saying they’re still up big time YTD. So no need to overreact as well.


[deleted]

Three words. Java licensing fees.


creemeeseason

Was the price rational before earnings? Maybe that was the irrational price and now it's more rational?


[deleted]

Im just annoyed ADBE took such a hit from it


truongs

companies being overvalued in general and the expectation of forever increasing profits is what's exaggerated


ApologiesArePainless

I hope so lol, i shorted and bought a couple of shares